After the 60-day U.S.–Iran memorandum expired this week, tankers have been trying the southern route through Omani waters instead of the Iranian side of the Strait of Hormuz.

That is not Iran “losing control.” It is Iran being bypassed. Tehran still says the strait stays shut until Washington lifts the blockade, the oil sanctions, the frozen-asset freeze, and the military pressure. Washington says the strait is open. The ships in the middle are the ones catching projectiles.

So Iran has two ugly options.

One: actually negotiate, which would mean accepting that traffic can move without Iranian permission. Two: hit the tankers using the Omani corridor. Those ships are in Omani waters. That is no longer just another maritime incident. That is a decision to drag Oman into the war.

Oman has been trying to mediate a route map. Trump has already threatened to bomb them if they get in the way. Iran has already been striking vessels on that southern lane. The question is not theoretical anymore. It is whether Tehran can live with a Hormuz it does not fully own.

I am tired of this sequence. Not in a poetic way. In a “how many more of these are we supposed to absorb” way.

Watch the tankers off Musandam. If Iran starts treating Omani waters as a free-fire zone, the conflict just got bigger.

What do you think they do — sit down, or hit Oman?